Inference Economics
Monthly rental market intelligence
Toronto Rental Listings — March 2026
Key Market Indicators
Overall median listing price
$2,550
MoM:
+2.0%
· YoY:
-1.7%
· 3m:
+2.0%
· n=3680
IQR: $2,150 – $3,200
1-bed median listing price
$1,999
MoM:
+0.2%
· YoY:
-7.0%
· 3m:
+2.5%
· n=1278
IQR: $1,750 – $2,225
2-bed median listing price
$2,600
MoM:
0.0%
· YoY:
-3.7%
· 3m:
0.0%
· n=1252
IQR: $2,300 – $2,900
3+ median listing price
$3,460
MoM:
-1.1%
· YoY:
-5.2%
· 3m:
-1.1%
· n=1150
IQR: $3,000 – $4,000
Trend & Mix Visuals
Median with IQR (filter by bedroom)
Bedroom mix share
Price distribution (1- & 2-bed) — March 2026
1-bed 3-month outlook (80/95% bands) — SARIMA(1, 1, 0)×(1, 0, 1, 12) AIC=-64.2 — Backtest MAPE: —
2-bed 3-month outlook (80/95% bands) — SARIMA(1, 1, 0)×(1, 0, 1, 12) AIC=-73.4 — Backtest MAPE: —
Income Benchmarks
Income needed to afford (rule-of-thumb 3.0× rent)
Hourly = (median × 3.0) ÷ (40.0 × 52.0 ÷ 12). Annual = hourly × 40.0 × 52.0.
1-bed
$34.60/hr
Annual: $71,964
2-bed
$45.00/hr
Annual: $93,600
3+ bed
$59.88/hr
Annual: $124,560
