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Inference Economics
Monthly rental market intelligence

Toronto Rental Listings — September 2025

September 2025 Toronto
Key Market Indicators
Overall median listing price
$2,600
MoM: -1.7% · YoY: -5.5% · 3m: +1.0% · n=6501
IQR: $2,199 – $3,400
1-bed median listing price
$2,000
MoM: -2.4% · YoY: -13.0% · 3m: 0.0% · n=2285
IQR: $1,799 – $2,300
2-bed median listing price
$2,650
MoM: -1.9% · YoY: -8.6% · 3m: -1.9% · n=2248
IQR: $2,400 – $3,000
3+ median listing price
$3,750
MoM: +1.4% · YoY: +1.4% · 3m: +7.1% · n=1968
IQR: $3,300 – $4,500
Trend & Mix Visuals
Median with IQR (filter by bedroom)
Bedroom mix share
Price distribution (1- & 2-bed) — September 2025
1-bed 3-month outlook (80/95% bands) — SARIMA(1, 1, 0)×(0, 1, 0, 12) AIC=-35.0 — Backtest MAPE: —
2-bed 3-month outlook (80/95% bands) — SARIMA(1, 1, 0)×(1, 0, 1, 12) AIC=-37.2 — Backtest MAPE: —
Income Benchmarks
Income needed to afford (rule-of-thumb 3.0× rent)
Hourly = (median × 3.0) ÷ (40.0 × 52.0 ÷ 12). Annual = hourly × 40.0 × 52.0.
1-bed
$34.62/hr
Annual: $72,000
2-bed
$45.87/hr
Annual: $95,400
3+ bed
$64.90/hr
Annual: $135,000
Toronto skyline illustration